全球能源咽喉
把霍尔木兹海峡的新闻、航运风险与能源冲击放到同一张桌面上。
这不是泛中东新闻聚合，而是围绕霍尔木兹海峡的专门观察站：你会看到过境风险、外交升级、油轮信号与能源市场反馈如何互相牵动。
Transit corridor
霍尔木兹海峡
观察窗口
过去 72 小时
优先聚合与海峡直接相关或高度相关的信号。
核心维度
航运 / 能源 / 外交
用一个结构看同一事件的多重传导。
阅读方式
快讯 + 解释
既看快讯，也看为什么它重要。
四个最该盯住的信号
航运摩擦
绕航、等待、护航与保险上调往往先出现。
四个最该盯住的信号
能源定价
油价不只交易失去的桶数，也交易中断概率。
四个最该盯住的信号
外交升级
措辞升级、制裁与报复预期会先改变风险偏好。
四个最该盯住的信号
海军姿态
任何增援、护航、联合声明都可能放大市场解读。
实时监测
最新头条
聚合公开新闻源里与霍尔木兹海峡最直接相关的报道，并用风险标签重新排序。
How China is gaining from Iran war by showing it is different from US
Beijing has leveraged its strong economic relationship with the US, Israel, Iran and the Gulf to keep its stakes safe.
Middle East crisis live: Trump extends ceasefire but blockade continues as second ship attacked in strait of Hormuz
Cargo ship attacked northwest of Iran after earlier reports that the IRGC had fired at a gunboat off the coast of Oman Trump announces ceasefire extension Why Trump’s erratic commentary is the real block to an Iran deal If you’re just joining us, here’s the main news of the day. It is 9.30am in Tehran, 9am in Jerusalem and Beirut, and 2am in Washington DC. Donald Trump unilaterally said he is extending the ceasefire with Iran at Pakistan’s request while awaiting a “unified proposal” from Tehran , even as the US military maintains its blockade of Iranian ports. Trump made the announcement as ceasefire talks looked increasingly uncertain with a two-week truce set to expire on Wednesday . Both countries had said they were prepared to resume fighting if no deal is reached. Trump said he would “extend the ceasefire until such time as [Iran’s] proposal is submitted, and discussions are concluded, one way or the other”. Trump later claimed in a Truth Social post that Iran is “collapsing financially” and was losing $500m every day that the strait of Hormuz is effectively closed . Iran has yet to decide whether to join the negotiations in Pakistan , a foreign ministry spokesman said earlier on Tuesday, and will only take part if Tehran believes the discussions would yield results. A container ship has reported being fired at by an IRGC gunboat, the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations said. The incident occurred 15 nautical miles north-east of Oman. The vessel sustained “heavy damage” to its bridge , the master of the ship said. All crew members were reported as safe. Shares were mixed in Asia as markets waited to see if the US and Iran may resume talks. Brent crude edged higher to $98.51 a barrel , while US benchmark crude fell 0.4% to $89.29 a barrel. One person was killed and two others wounded in an Israeli drone strike overnight on the outskirts of al-Jbour in Lebanon’s western Bekaa Valley , Lebanese state media reported. Israel and Lebanon agreed to a 10-day ceasefire on Friday. Since the war started, fighting has killed at least 3,375 people in Iran and more than 2,290 in Lebanon , the Associated Press reported. Additionally, 23 people have died in Israel and more than a dozen in Gulf Arab states. Fifteen Israeli soldiers in Lebanon and 13 US service members throughout the region have been killed. Iran’s Revolutionary Guards threatened to prevent oil production in the Middle East if the Islamic republic faced attacks launched from its Gulf neighbours’ territory. Continue reading...
US halts shipment of Iraq’s oil dollars in bid to curb Iran-linked groups
A plane carrying nearly $500m in US banknotes was blocked by the US Treasury, according to The Wall Street Journal.
Strait of Hormuz military talks to be led by UK and France – as it happened
This blog is now closed. See our latest full report here: Trump announces extension of Iran ceasefire until ‘discussion concluded’ Iran’s armed forces are ready to deliver an “immediate and decisive response” to any renewed hostile action by its adversaries, Ali Abdollahi, commander of the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters, was quoted by the Tasnim news agency as having said. He said Tehran had the upper hand militarily, including in the management of the strait of Hormuz, and would not allow Donald Trump to “create false narratives over the situation on the ground.” Continue reading...
Condom prices could rise 30% due to Iran war, says world’s top producer Karex
Karex produces more than 5 billion condoms annually and is a supplier to leading brands like Durex and Trojan, as well as the NHS The world’s top condom producer, Malaysia’s Karex Bhd, plans to raise prices by 20% to 30% and possibly further if supply chain disruptions drag on due to the Iran war, its chief executive has said. Karex is also seeing a surge in condom demand as rising freight costs and shipping delays have left many of its customers with lower stockpiles than usual, CEO Goh Miah Kiat told Reuters in an interview on Tuesday. Continue reading...
EU eyes options as Iran conflict threatens jet fuel shortages
The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is causing concern in Europe, which relies heavily on imported jet fuel.
Trump says US will not lift Hormuz blockade until deal made with Iran
The US president's comments come amid uncertainty over whether Iran will attend peace talks in Pakistan this week.
Pakistan seeks to raise its global standing in push for Middle East peace
Islamabad has seized chance to act as mediator in Iran war and hopes to reap diplomatic and economic benefits As Pakistan works frantically to narrow differences between Iran and the US in its newfound role as global peacemaker, it is also seeking to recast its diplomatic standing and attract business. Pakistani officials, mediating between an unpredictable US president and hardliners in Tehran, were on Monday trying to coax both sides to put the conditions in place for a second round of talks in Islamabad this week, including easing the standoff in the strait of Hormuz. Pakistan was optimistic that the meeting would happen, viewing objections voiced by the Iranian side and Donald Trump’s threats as posturing for domestic audiences. Continue reading...
为什么这条海峡总会放大局势
它太窄
海量能源流量被压进极小通道，任何摩擦都会立刻可见。
为什么这条海峡总会放大局势
它太关键
对多数海湾出口国来说，它不是可选路线，而是必经路线。
为什么这条海峡总会放大局势
它太敏感
政治措辞、无人机事件与护航安排都能被市场迅速放大。
站内深度文章
滚动快讯与深度背景
用更慢的阅读速度，把地图、航运与能源市场之间的关系讲清楚。
常见问题
这是不是在预测封锁？
不是。这里更强调风险信号与市场传导，而不是简单预测“会不会封锁”。
为什么会同时看油价和航运？
因为霍尔木兹海峡的风险往往先体现在航运与保险，再传导到能源定价。
这些深度文章多久更新？
它们不会像快讯一样频繁滚动，而是随着区域局势与市场结构变化定期修订。